This Is the Oldest Move in the Book

Commodity wars are real and they’ve been happening for the past couple of years.

At first, it was the Russians, who wanted to show Europe just how reliant their economy was on Russian oil and natural gas, but the Europeans bit their lips for a few months and completely changed the way they get energy from other sources.

They have become large consumers of American LNG and, for the most part, the scare of decoupling from the mother’s milk that is Vladimir Putin, has been unfounded.

Then, once Europe stabilized, someone (wink wink) decided to make sure Russia would never be able to go back to Nord Stream and the pipeline was sabotaged.

Everyone has their own theory about who did it, but it’s pretty obvious who the main beneficiary of this is.

After that, the West began to cap the price that they’d pay for Russian oil, in order to weaken its economy, but that didn’t help… oil prices soared and Biden’s administration decided to drain the Strategic Petroleum Reserves. This came at a time when Washington acted extra-anti-fossil fuels and carelessly allowed the U.S. to remain vulnerable to supply shocks (you know the kind… the Russians and Saudis did the same thing in 1973).

Lo and behold, Putin started buying weapons and technology from the Iranians, helped Assad regain power in Syria, while China courted the Saudis and both nations were invited to BRICS, so now they’re cutting the supply of oil to the end of the year and the price is rallying!

This is war, since it could lead to the U.S. economy suffering a recession in an election year, right when the administration committed a massive aid package to Ukraine, while Americans sit there and wonder why their tax dollars aren’t spent at home.

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    Biden truly got played here. In order to show the world that America is still boss, after two decades of failures in the Middle East, they bet on Ukraine, hoping to remove Putin from power, but this drove more countries into forming a bloc to stand against NATO and it certainly revived NATO itself.

    So, what do we have here?

    The Federal Reserve pledged to get the job done, so they’re not going to stop; their reputation is on the line — unfortunately for them, even if they don’t think that raising rates is the solution anymore {clearly, it’s not stopping oil prices from rising}, they’ll keep citing how volatile energy is, but it won’t matter…

    The consumer is the person who casts the vote at the ballot and Biden will have to begin figuring out ways to please his base or whatever is left of it.

    If you consider everything central banks have done to subdue inflation, yet it is still with us and still very high, you’ll remember that I think inflation will be north of 3% for years to come, until the demographics and de-globalization help to drive down costs.

    For now, Biden or not, inflation will run hot, and when the FED can’t raise interest rates anymore, gold will begin to break out BIG.

    Best Regards,

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