After a 5-year drought, Secretary of State Antony Blinken visited China because the Americans and Chinese are waging a quiet war. No tanks or planes are required, but there’s plenty of force and aggression on both sides.
The Chinese are justifiably concerned that the U.S. is attempting to stall China’s economic growth. In recent months, President Xi has been moving ahead with making it more difficult to do business in China as a foreigner.
One move from Germany’s playbook (the 1933-1939 era) is to claim that existing trade agreements and pacts signed in the past are no longer valid if they happen to be working against China’s current interests.
In other words, for the sake of national security, China’s leadership can break its promises and not respect signed documents.
Just so we’re on the same page, this was a law that passed. China can legally break previous contracts it signed if it deems them damaging to their best interests.
In April, they passed the Anti-Espionage Law, which allows its government to snoop around in documents of foreign companies doing business in China.
This is war, and Biden’s administration is fully engaged while dropping silent bombs as well.
Unlike Russia, which has been more unilaterally sanctioned with sweeping support by the West, China isn’t isolated even though the Americans are trying to weaken them considerably.
China is finding many allies in Africa, where its loans and trading partnerships are creating strong relationships, along with Latin America, where Argentina and Brazil have already begun settling debts in yuan, not dollars.
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This and other monetary measures have recently led to a breakout in Treasury yields!
Since the ZIRP era reached its bottom in the months of April-August 2020, yields have gone up nearly 600%. The 10-year bond, which is the barometer for all other assets in the universe, are trading at 16-year highs (the same as they were in November 2007).
The more we continue to see rates rising, the more we need to understand that growth will slow down and quality will be the crucial aspect of investments. Leverage is expensive and profits are cheap when borrowing is so unaffordable.
The United States and China are both fighting for the dominant role in global affairs and world order, and microchips are the lifeline.
That’s why China just retaliated by restricting the exports of two critical materials used by the semiconductor and electric vehicle supply chain.
Taiwan, whose independence is secured by America’s 7th Fleet aircraft carrier, drones, precision missiles, electronic warfare, and cybersecurity courtesy of the U.S. military forces, is at the center of it all.
For years, China believed its greatest threat was from the Strait of Malacca, which could be blocked and choke the supply of oil and gas to the country, but Taiwan is proving to be the most strategic island in the world.
If you think OPEC is a monopoly, you need to understand how countries and companies that are directly involved with the manufacturing of microchips are exponentially more crucial to our way of life than anything else you can imagine.
The United States, China, Germany, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and the Netherlands exert immense power by being the world’s hubs for microchips, but the tag of war between China and the United States over technological embargoes that Biden and Xi are playing pose grave danger to all of us.
WW3 will be fought over the supremacy of microchips.
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