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Donald Trump is NOT ABOUT to let all of the hatred towards China go to WASTE, so to speak. He’s a businessman, and not only that, he climbed the ranks of NYC real estate, so when he SENSES WEAKNESS in the enemy, he TRIPLES-DOWN!
I expect Washington to sway public attention towards China’s practices with the anticipation that political and diplomatic alliances with it will diminish in favor of American superiority.
I cannot overstate how much bad blood is building-up globally against the Chinese Communist Party right now.
Every day, with more reports leaking about the likely COVER-UP of essential details – of human-to-human infectiousness, the scope of the disease and other crucial data, such as the safety issues in the Wuhan bio-labs – the PRESSURE is mounting and the scrutiny is intensifying. Trump will gain points with voters, who want to see someone punished for Covid-19’s HORRIFIC outcomes for the average person and for the country; it also ALLOWS WASHINGTON to get tougher on China before negotiating Phase 2 of the trade deal.
As you can see, while the algorithms trading in accordance with software programming are back to buying, the hedge funds that are LISTENING to CEOs in the field and paying attention to fundamentals, are not.
We don’t see ANY CHANCE IN HELL that U.S. corporations will go back to being as profitable and as healthy as they were in January for years to come. We just don’t.
Our outlook on Quantitative Easing and its effect on markets isn’t bullish either.
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There’s NO REASON to assume that further QE would deliver results, after we just saw the MOTHER OF ALL BAILOUTS being implemented. After one sees the world’s sweetest chocolate in unlimited quantities, he doesn’t fancy a banana, metaphorically speaking.
My point is that central banks now know that they’re PUSHING THE LIMITS of what they can do without creating a boomerang effect, which will come back to BITE ALL OF US in the ass.
Let’s not KID OURSELVES; while the focus of the media is on NYC and its war against the virus, the country hasn’t flattened the curve yet. It has lowered panic levels, relaxed measures and brought back liquidity to markets, but we’re not anywhere close to NORMAL CONDITIONS and it’s probably months away from happening.
Most investors are now concerned with MAINTAINING wealth and looking for the MOST TRUSTED asset, one that has withstood all previous crises and is universally accepted. They’re in search of liquidity and GOLD offers all of the above.
For now, investors are willing to BITE THE BULLET and remain hopeful that the slowdown in further infections, the CARES Act and the INEVITABLE upcoming stimulus will bring a huge turnaround, a Hollywood ending to this – but that’s only in the movies.
What we FORECAST is that in about a month the focus of investors will turn to the 2020 elections because we all know now what Donald Trump will do; he will work on MAINTAINING low taxes, zero interest rates and crushing China’s ATTEMPTS to overthrow American global dominance.
For me, what really stands out in this crisis is how much the U.S. dollar is non-replaceable, at this point, which is unfortunate to savers. More and more countries are becoming aware that they’re SUPER-RELIANT on it and rise and fall on dollar shortages, especially emerging markets.
We just don’t see the global community continuing to agree to this CURRENCY MONOPOLY.
Courtesy: Zerohedge.com, Paul Tudor Jones (A.K.A. Gold $1,750)
On the right, you can really see where the RUBBER MEETS THE ROAD.
If inflation DOESN’T accelerate, it would be the EXCEPTION, not the rule.
Remember, if interest rates are this low, we don’t need 5% official CPI to see gold reach $3,000/ounce, we only need it at 2.5%.
I’ve never been more bullish on gold than I am right now.
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