Wall Street, Taliban And Debt
Do you think the people of this country are angry? You bet they are. After two decades in Afghanistan, Biden has taken America out of there and the Taliban took back control of the country in a heartbeat.
Just like in the imperial era, when Europeans retreated from Africa and a civil war ensued, humans can’t stand a vacuum and will immediately fill it.
Colonialism argued that the Europeans brought progress and civil rights to the territories they occupied, along with other progressive benefits, but the counter-argument has always been made just as fiercely. Once the Europeans packed up with their tails between their legs, the worst of human atrocities occurred in the newly created vacuum of governance.
There is no surprise about what just took place because the second America entered Afghanistan 20 years ago, the fate on how its reckoning day would shape up was sealed.
Anyone with half a brain understood that this was inevitable!
Other things aren’t as clear cut as to how a U.S. exodus out of the Middle East would look:
Courtesy: U.S. Global Investors
On the matter of negative interest rates, it seems the world is conflicted!
You can’t get a straight answer when you ask economists what happens next. The division between those that believe governments and central banks will have to tighten in the face of inflation make up one camp while those that think inflation is not a big concern and negative rates can continue comprise the opposing group of thinkers.
Here, right where the two camps collide, lies the mother of all opportunities. If gold kicks into 6th gear and accelerates to over $2,000, the beauty is that the mining stocks are nowhere near pricing in that rally!
This is fantastic since it means that even small bets, not back-up-the-truck or roll-the-dice ones, are required in order to capture big wins.
The Taliban has cost American taxpayers many trillions, but not nearly as much as Wall Street bailout packages have. In the war over the way that the federal government spends its deficit and digs its grave, both the Taliban and Wall Street seem to be on equal footing. Both are harmful.
Here’s where the plot thickens, though.
The 30-year Treasury bond yield, which bottomed in August 2020 and peaked in February 2021, is collapsing and beginning to appreciate the probability that the FED is not in a position to taper yet.
93% Of Investors Generate Annual Returns, Which Barely Beat Inflation.
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If this technical pattern called the death cross is reliable, interest rates are about to go down even more!
What has been spent in 2020 has been such a crazy sum that we believe it will continue to influence prices for years to come!
If Americans like to keep talking about the wasteful wars on the other side of the world, they should look within as well.
The global economy has never seen such a currency creation campaign, and it has birthed this anomaly:
Hedge funds are severely underperforming, and the indices are beating their returns. The chief reason for this is the state of confusion the world is in!
It could not be worse!
The bottom line is that there are so many changes that the world doesn’t seem to know what the fair price of anything is. This is creating bubbles and busts quickly and furiously.
Governments Have Amassed ungodly Debt Piles and Have Promised Retirees Unreasonable Amounts of Entitlements, Not In Line with Income Tax Collections. The House of Cards Is Set To Be Worse than 2008! Rising Interest Rates Can Topple The Fiat Monetary Structure, Leaving Investors with Less Than Half of Their Equity Intact!
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