The FED Meets on Wednesday
Are you ready for a big week?
This week is especially critical for gold because the markets and the FED don’t see eye to eye on inflation. In fact, the differences are night and day, and that is always good for gold.
Here are the futures odds for rate cuts in 2024:
January: no cut/hike
March: no cut/hike
May: 0.25% rate cut (to 5.00%)
June: 0.25% rate cut (to 4.75%)
July: 0.25% rate cut (to 4.50%)
September: 0.25% rate cut (to 4.25%)
November: 0.25% rate cut (to 4.00%)
December: no cut/hike (terminal 2024 rate of 4.00%)
If the market is pricing in 1.25% in total rate cuts, the FED keeps saying that rate cuts are premature, and they will only consider cutting for the first time in Q3, there is a massive discrepancy in the analysis of data. The question is who is missing something and how.
We believe the FED, as usual, is unable to make a public statement about data that is forward-looking and behind the curve.
With the layoffs and shelter costs dropping sharply, the Federal Reserve is 3-6 months behind the curve.
Gold is 90% ready for the breakout that will take it to over $2,100.
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All that’s missing is for the rate cut cycle to begin.
Keep in mind that the markets have already priced in so many rate cuts with the current valuations, but the FED isn’t on the same page as Wall Street. When the friction between them becomes evident, the switch to hedging portfolios with gold will be massive.
This reminds me of 2016, but the crazy part this time is that no country can risk being dependent when it comes to sourcing commodities, agriculture, base materials, and energy in a world that is growing further apart by the second.
Watch Nickel and Gold CLOSELY!
One prime example of a metal that I expect will make investors a fortune is nickel!
Samsung recently invested directly into a nickel developer!
This is what we saw with lithium, and Tesla and others are now doing the same with nickel:
Elon, you probably don’t have time to read Future Money Trends, but if any of your top-level employees read this and forward it to you, think about where your Cybertrucks will source their nickel from because the U.S. has decided that it’s a good idea to buy processed nickel from Indonesia and Russia!
I know you like to think things through, so maybe consider telling Trump or Biden to incentivize Americans to stop working for Walmart and start looking for geology work.
One last thing to consider is that China just announced a monumental stimulus program that I believe will set the stage for it to drive investments back into the country. I think that means they will pressure Iran and the Houthis to tone down their attacks on freight.
This tells me that the demand for nickel will rise this year because the CCP is trying its hardest to make China the leading EV country in the world as it looks to reduce its dependency on oil imports, which are considered the country’s Achilles’ heel.
Do or die this upcoming Wednesday.
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