What I overlooked…

After publishing the reasons to be bearish on gold in 2026, I want elaborate on a few things that I overlooked before and are important, because there might be hope still for precious metals, even as silver and gold have both been dramatic outperformers.

The mind immediately wants to take these incredible profits and allocate them into cheap sectors, but the trend could be even stronger than originally anticipated.

When we laid out our bullish case, including our $4,500/ounce target, we didn't factor one critical component into the mix and I'll explain it next.

Remember, our target for silver is $80/ounce and our gold target was recently revised higher to $5,600, assuming a 70:1 gold/silver ratio. This is a end-of-2027 target.

Today, I want to explain why it could happen sooner than we thought. Originally, our thinking was that 2026 will be a breather year, but it might shape out to be an historic one.

Here are the top 5 knowns for 2026:

1. Ukraine-Russia war/resolution.
2. Escalation between China, Japan and Taiwan.
3. Midterm elections.
4. New FED Chairman.
5. AI investments in the U.S. send GDP soaring.

Here are the top 5 unknowns:

1. Renewed conflict in the Middle East.
2. Russia invades Europe proper (NATO countries).
3. Cuban and North Korean soldiers join Russia's military.
4. Trump using tariffs in aggressive fashion.

What all of the above tell me is that the appetite of Wall Street to go LONG on the markets could prove to reluctant for yet another year.

If that's the case, Wall Street will look for alternatives, but if housing isn't more affordable and crypto remains in bearish patterns, Wall Street could continue to favor precious metals.

In my view, the most important event on the global scene is Russia's war in Ukraine. The reason this is so crucial is that Putin has realized that his actions are putting into question the willingness of NATO to stand together and their readiness to enlist soldiers.

Nearly four years into his invasion of Ukraine, the Russian economy is still functioning, the people are not revolting and soldiers continue dying, without backlash.

Europe now sees this as a major threat on the entire continent: will their soldiers show the same kind of resolve and will their economies fare as well as Russia's, which relies predominantly on oil sales?

I've read and studied much about Russia's culture and war ethics and I don't have much faith in a ceasefire before the midterms.

If Trump loses, Putin will feel emboldened.

Keep in mind that Putin initiated military maneuvers under Bush, Obama and Biden and even the second Chechen War under Clinton, but he didn't dare do it under the 45^th and 47^th president.

I can go back to the year 882, to the first established Russia rule and list 1,200 years of wars. Russians fight, like they breathe. Gold will break out, along with silver, is Trump's peace plan fails. Russia fights, not becasue of the Military Industrial Complex or because of NATO expansion - Russia fights because that is what it does. Every time there's a different reason, but the end result is the same: Russia fights.

Kievan Rus' (882–1240) and Early Principalities

• Rus'–Byzantine Wars (9th–11th centuries).
• Rus'–Pecheneg Campaigns (920–1036) and Rus'–Cuman Campaigns(c. 1055–1223).
• Finnish–Novgorodian Wars (11th–13th centuries).
• Mongol Invasion of Rus' (1237–1240).

Muscovy and the Tsardom of Russia (1263–1721)

• Muscovite–Tverian Wars (1305–1485): Inter-princely feuds for dominance.
• Dmitry Donskoy's campaigns (Battle of Kulikovo, 1380) against the Golden Horde, leading to the Great Stand on the Ugra River (1480), which ended the Tatar Yoke.
• Russo-Lithuanian Wars (15th–16th centuries).
• Russo-Kazan Wars (15th–16th centuries): Resulted in the conquest of the Kazan Khanate by Ivan the Terrible (1552).
• Livonian War (1558–1583): Fought for control of Livonia (modern Latvia and Estonia).
• Polish–Muscovite War / Time of Troubles (1605–1618).
• Russian Conquest of Siberia (1580–1747).
• Russo-Polish War (1654–1667): Led to the acquisition of left-bank Ukraine and Kyiv.
• Russo-Turkish Wars (The beginning of a long series of 12 conflicts, starting 1568).

Russian Empire (1721–1917)

• Great Northern War (1700–1721): Russia defeated Sweden, securing a foothold on the Baltic Sea and establishing St. Petersburg.
• Russo-Turkish Wars (Multiple wars, including 1768–1774 and 1787–1792): Led to Russia's annexation of Crimea and expansion into the Black Sea region.
• Partitions of Poland (1772, 1793, 1795).
• Napoleonic Wars (1803–1815): Included the French invasion of Russia (1812), which was a disastrous defeat for Napoleon.
• Russo-Persian Wars (19th century).
• Crimean War (1853–1856): Russia lost to an alliance of the Ottoman Empire, France, Britain, and Sardinia.
• Russo-Turkish War (1877–1878): Led to the independence of several Balkan nations from the Ottoman Empire.
• Russo-Japanese War (1904–1905): A major defeat that exposed the deep flaws in the Tsarist system.
• World War I (1914–1918): Russia's involvement ended prematurely with the Russian Revolution.

Soviet Union (1917–1991)

• Russian Civil War (1917–1922).
• Soviet–Polish War (1919–1921).
• Soviet–Japanese Border Conflicts (1938–1939).
• World War II (The Great Patriotic War) (1939/1941–1945).
• Interventions in Eastern Bloc (Cold War Proxy Conflicts):
  • Korean War (1950–1953) (Indirect support).
  • Hungarian Revolution (1956) (Direct intervention).
  • Vietnam War (Indirect support).
  • Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia (1968) (Direct intervention).
  • Soviet–Afghan War (1979–1989) (Direct intervention).

Russian Federation (1991–Present)

• War of Transnistria (1992) (Intervention/Support).
• First Chechen War (1994–1996).
• War of Dagestan (1999).
• Second Chechen War (1999–2009).
• Russo-Georgian War (2008).
• Russo-Ukrainian War (2014–Present): Including the annexation of Crimea and the invasion of Ukraine.
• Russian military intervention in the Syrian Civil War (2015–Present).

If this Peace Plan doesn't work; this war is going to Europe and who knows what that means!

Best Regards,
FutureMoneyTrends.com

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