Dramatic Moves Down For Retail Names
You wouldn’t think it with Bitcoin and the Dow Jones near all time highs, but the retail investor has been absolutely decapitated since February 2021.
They’re experiencing margin calls for the first time in their lives.
For 2020’s stock mania trades, I imagine they are also seeing a tax bill that they didn’t set aside the cash for from all those great trades like Tesla.
When you look at the market, you see all time highs and growth, but behind the scenes, for the average retail investor, it is a swamp of blood in the streets type moment.
Everything retail has purchased in the past few months and even weeks, is being absolutely destroyed.
The COIN IPO, which was just last week, gapped up to $429 with retail flooding in—that was about 6 trading days ago; today it trades for $293 as I write this! That’s down 31%! For many retail investors, they wish it were this good to only be down thirty percent. Take all the retail cult stocks that they piled into, TTCF, PLNHF, GGTTF, PLTR, CCIV, RIOT, ATOM, VYGVF, and BBKCF, all of which are down by over 50% in the last few months.
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50% in the red! Imagine being a retail investor and having to stomach this. They’ve gone from the FOMO (fear of missing out) trade, to the FOLM (fear of losing money) trade.
The Ark Innovation Fund is down 26% from its 52 week high. According to CNBC, SPACs are down 32% since the middle of February, the cannabis sector is down a whopping 42%, and the clean energy space, a millennial favorite, is down 32%.
In the Canadian markets, some of the most heavily traded names in January—NEXE, VERY, and VEGA are all down by at least 50%. NEXE is actually down 72% since mid-February when this retail surge of investment gains topped out.
Even the big cult names like Snowflake and Tesla are down approximately 20% from their 52 week highs, leaving no escape for the retail investor.
The retail crowd is more interested than ever to invest in stocks, but we expect a slow recovery to their buying, with at least a 60-day pause before they can fully get back into the game, and that’s me being optimistic about recovery for the many names mentioned above.
As someone who works in marketing public companies, I would rather my current assessment not be the case, but it is what it is, and the only thing that will fix this is patience, consistency in investor awareness, and being ready to strike when the iron is hot again.
This is just the ugly truth about what is happening in the retail investor market.
Please don’t shoot the messenger.
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