When Central Planning Fails
What you’re seeing is a situation where central planning fails, but I’ll come back to that later.
First, I want you to meditate on the fact that investors now have a sour taste in their mouths over tech and growth.
No matter if you tell me that today’s tech stocks are revenue beasts, innovators, or companies with real business models and the potential for disruption, not domain names with an idea behind them like in the Dotcom days, the end result is the same: investors now FEAR TECH.
I want you to think about and meditate on the similarities between the periods and how value is now back in fashion just as it was in 2001.
One main difference is inflation, which is FAR HIGHER than back then.
Look at this chart to see how similar these are:
93% Of Investors Generate Annual Returns, Which Barely Beat Inflation.
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What’s the central failure we’re seeing?
The Federal Reserve waited on the free markets and the government waited on the Federal Reserve… Now, we’re in a big mess.
There are 11M job openings and 6M job seekers, and this doesn’t even mean the 6M are a fit for the jobs being sought.
If the economy is strong, the FED has to be aggressive. If the economy slows, we risk a recession.
The crisis is too much for the Federal Reserve to handle. They can discourage demand by making credit far less attractive, but that’s the extent of it. They really cannot assist the economy but try to slow the changes of the new world.
In the masterful movie “The Green Mile,” which I consider a work of art, John Coffey is burdened with the task of seeing only the negative and the mean that people manifest.
His head is exploding like pieces of glass, causing him pain, yet his gift is in helping take away other people’s pain with healing powers and love.
John Coffey is portrayed as having joy, bliss, and a sense of humor, yet he can’t enjoy all this because of the curse of feeling the pain of evil in this world.
In the movie, John Coffey is an innocent person sentenced to death, yet the person in charge of death row, played by Tom Hanks, realizes that John is innocent.
John reveals this to the prison guard by shaking his hand and transferring the knowledge of who really did the crime to him because the real murderer had touched him and he could see what was in his heart.
“You can’t hide what’s in your heart,” he says.
2022 is a year that makes us all look at what’s in our hearts and how we handle massive global changes. There’s a war waging in Europe that is causing tremendous human tragedy and is dividing the world into camps, plus there are the brutal bear markets that have wiped out some $30 trillion in equity to asset owners, yet solutions are not to be found easily.
There is no John Coffey to take the pain away.
Hardship builds the souls of people, and there is ample opportunity today.
Take advantage of self-choice. Use your willpower to be grateful, and ideas on how to advance when others are paralyzed will spring up.
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