50 Days from July 14th. I’m Going RISK-OFF
Trump wants to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which is much more than just a war between those two countries, and he’s given Putin a 50-day notice on July 14th.
This means that by September 2nd, Trump wants to see a ceasefire, or the ultimatum will be enforced.
What’s the game plan?
Trump wants China, India and Brazil to choose between trade and supporting Russia.
Without sending American troops and without funding the Ukrainians, Trump is strategizing a new way of mobilizing NATO and Ukrainian forces, so that Putin’s price for keeping the war going, will be perhaps too costly for his backing nations.
In other words, Trump respects Putin’s ability to keep justifying the war to the people of Russia, but he believes that the leaders of Brazil, China and India, will not be able to easily explain away why they’re buying Russian oil, when its price is jacked up.
The first step will be 100% tariffs on Russian oil.
Now, I have explained this many times; whatever President Trump threatens to do, he MUST do, because his entire doctrine is that America must do as it says.
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Therefore, China and India are threatened with 100% tariffs, if they keep buying Russian oil, after September 2nd.
China buys just under half of Russia’s oil, while India buys another 4 out of every 10 barrels, so if just of these calculates that aggravating Trump, while at the same time, refusing his pleads for peace, which I am sure he is proposing to them, with many perks attached, they’ll prove themselves to be warmongers and profiteers, while Trump will be imaged as the man that tried everything to stop Putin, but was left with no other choice than to be brutal.
Even European leaders, who are still traumatized by WW2 and would do ANYTHING to avoid war, including appeasement and bribe, support Trump, as does Zelenskyy, who understands that Trump didn’t abandon him, but really cares about the result.
With August 1st deadlines just around the corner and with the possibility that Putin will attempt desperate moves, ahead of the likely ceasefire on September 2nd, I fail to understand the euphoric sentiment in Wall Street.
Therefore, I have been cashing up and continue to take profits, raising my cash position to nearly 20%, while hedge funds are at 4%.
I’m not forecasting a bear market, but a correction.
If all I see is a correction, which is about 10% for the S&P 500 and NASDAQ 100, why am I cashing up so much?
Courtesy: Zerohedge.com
Think of what is on the line in the next 6 weeks alone:
- TRUMP vs. POWELL: Who actually controls the economic policy of the country?
- Trump vs. Putin: Will the war accelerate or will India and/or China find an offramp?
- August 1st tariffs.
- Stock markets at all-time high, gold at all-time high, copper at all-time high and Bitcoin at all-time high, while dollar at worst year in ages!
Too much on the line, with many asset classes at all-time high!
The one exception may be rare earth minerals, because the government just INVESTED in them directly…
Best Regards,
FutureMoneyTrends.com
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