We’re Starting to Lose It
Some people just hate capitalism. They see the extremity of it, the greedy pigs, those that are fixated on profits to the exclusion of anything else. They look at those who cherish the bottom line and don’t care about the human aspect of labor and ingenuity.
In their eyes, the solution is to stop these culprits and redistribute the wealth pie equally or make sure the process is regulated, contained, mitigated, and overseen by the government.
On the other side of the coin are those that want capitalism flipped upside down and believe that by taking away the power to capitalize on any existing condition in society, the government should be the solution. They call this “communism.”
Communism doesn’t work because it creates enemies from within. People are individualized creative centers that are inherently pursuing visions and imaginative plans.
Capitalism also generates hatred from those that start at the bottom of the chain and those that don’t see integrity in the construction of the system.
We still haven’t figured out a better way, though. For now, material profits have been some of the best incentives for taking personal action and building a better future.
One thing capitalism does very well is seek to lower costs, expedite the time it takes to receive goods and services, and elevate the quality.
In pursuit of this profit, corporations have globalized their capabilities of production, research, and development.
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For example, companies sent people to the depths of jungles in search of cures and minerals. It drove them to 3rd-world countries to chase talent that is cheap to hire. At its peak, it birthed the “just-in-time” global supply chain, a process so efficient that borders became nearly obsolete when it comes to ideas, human capital, production, and finances.
This system was disrupted in March 2020. Nowadays, a company can’t afford to rely on JIT (just-in-time) and must hoard and shore up its inventory ahead of time. It must warehouse products in advance, thus driving up its costs of storage and security, and this is damaging to the smaller players because the rate of change and adaptation is easier for big companies that are better suited for large projects.
The March 2020 economic shock is squeezing small businesses, and it makes prices gyrate all over the map. It makes it so that companies must purchase things well in advance out of fear that shipments will be delayed.
There are countless inherently unlimited opportunities in virtually every sector of the global economy. Whatever is efficient for this new world will survive the transitory part we are going through, while other businesses and practices that thrived before COVID-19 and its aftermath will be discarded.
When Jerome Powell keeps referring to a transitory period, he is right. He shouldn’t be criticized for calling this inflation we are experiencing transitory, but he should be careful about his prediction that after the transition to the new global supply chain, inflation will be more moderate.
The truth is that he has no idea what it will be because the new global system is shaping up in front of his eyes as much as it is forming in front of everyone else. He does possess the advantage of being able to build a big-picture analysis of the probabilities of what it would look like by gathering colossal amounts of data points from across the globe.
The consensus is:
- Transition period
- Temporarily higher inflation
- Resumption of efficiency
- Lower inflation
If you disagree and are a capitalist, make your chess move!
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