The Dollar is Safe for Now

Dear Reader,

The dollar accounts for 63% of central bank holdings.

The 2nd runner-up is the euro, which is 20% of central bank holdings, however, with all that is going on there, it’s hard to believe that the world would exit the dollar in favor of another currency.

Europe is clearly in the past. It’s been in decline for more than 70 years now, and its demographics show that the decline is far from over.

The U.S. looks like it’s also peaked and has been in decline since the late 1990s.

Without a doubt, we are in a transitionary period that will take decades to fully play out.

The world’s 3 biggest nation-state economies are the U.S., China, and India, with the U.S. in decline as a percentage of global GDP and India and China on the rise.

For 2000 years, India and China accounted for the largest economies on Earth, so if you consider the big picture of history, it’s not a real shocker that these two are rebalancing the world to look more like our past.

There is no conspiracy to the ending of the dollar as the reserve currency – it’s not a secret at all.

The World Bank’s former chief economist has openly proposed and advocated for the replacement of the dollar with a global supercurrency.

However, for the near-term, the dollar is very safe. Cross-border financing and trade have increased dramatically since the 2008 financial crisis.

As for now, no other currency has the global utility and liquidity the dollar has – not even close.

We continue to recommend silver, gold, and Bitcoin for currency diversification.

For the precious metals, if I had to guess where they stand today, I would say it’s the calm before the storm.

Best Regards,

Daniel Ameduri

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